Harsh but plausible scenario: Britain will become poorer due to war in Iran

Citizens in many countries feeling the economic blow of the war in the Middle East are hoping that a long-term ceasefire between the US and Iran will lead to lasting peace. In the UK, petrol prices have risen by 20% and energy bills are likely to rise significantly as the closure of the Strait of Hormuz, a critical global shipping route, has pushed up oil and gas prices. And if the conflict escalates, the impact on the UK economy will worsen, warns a think tank. Sky News reports.

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The Resolution Foundation said a “serious but plausible scenario” could see government borrowing increase by £16 billion a year in 2029-30 as the Chancellor considers supporting household energy bills.

Simon Pittaway, senior economist at the Resolution Foundation, said: “No one knows where the current conflict in the Middle East will go, but we do know that it will make us all poorer.”

A spokesman for the US Treasury Department dismissed the think tank's forecast as “pure speculation” but said the war showed the need to establish “greater energy security and improve public finances.”

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“We are strengthening our energy security, supporting British industry and protecting households in a targeted and timely manner,” he added.

Meanwhile, Iran was not intimidated by Trump's threats and responded quite defiantly to the US proposal for a ceasefire.

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