Conflict with Iran: US military readies massive, decisive offensive

Пентагон розробляє варіанти “вирішального удару” у війні з Іраном: Axios пише про чотири сценарії 

© Getty Images Trump has not yet decided on any of the options.

The Pentagon is formulating alternatives for a “definitive strike” in a conflict with Iran that might encompass soldiers on the ground and a large-scale aerial bombardment, Axios declared , referencing a pair of US functionaries.

The chance of a swift intensification of the confrontation will rise if progress stalls in diplomatic conversations and, notably, should the Strait of Hormuz stay impassable. Select US representatives suggest that a demonstration of power to cease hostilities would yield extra influence for Washington in dialogues or just furnish Trump with a rationale to proclaim “triumph.”

Iran also possesses a “say” in the manner the battle concludes, and several of the envisioned possibilities could precipitate an ongoing and escalating dispute instead of its sudden termination.

Axios sources briefed on four primary routes for a “critical attack” from which Trump can pick:

  • the occupation or barricade of Kharq Island, Iran's central oil export nexus;
  • the seizure of Larak Island, which assumes a key position in Iran's dominion over the Strait of Hormuz (this calculated locale hosts Iranian fortifications, offensive vessels equipped to detonate freighters, and radar installations that observe activity in the strait);
  • the taking of the strategic island of Abu Musa and two adjacent minor islands situated near the western gateway to the strait, managed by Iran but also contested by the UAE;
  • Interdicting or commandeering vessels conveying Iranian petroleum from the eastern flank of the Strait of Hormuz.

The US military has additionally drawn up blueprints for land expeditions inside Iran to secure caches of intensely enriched uranium secreted within nuclear complexes. As opposed to embarking on such a sophisticated and perilous enterprise, the US could unleash sweeping airborne assaults on the sites, endeavoring to perpetually deny Iran access to the substance.

Trump has not yet made a decision concerning any of these options, with White House authorities branding any prospective ground movements as “conjectural.” However, Axios’ sources suggest Trump is poised to heighten matters if discussions with Iran fail to generate concrete outcomes imminently.

The US president could initially execute his vow to bombard energy installations in Iran, to which Tehran threatens comprehensive offensives across the Persian Gulf.

White House Press Secretary Caroline Levitt cautioned Iran on Wednesday, March 25, that the US president is equipped to strike “more fiercely than ever prior” should a settlement not be attained. Additional US military contingents are anticipated to reach the Middle East in the ensuing days and weeks.

Iranian officials express that they distrust the parleys with Trump and perceive them as a feint for unforeseen assaults by the United States. Iranian Parliament Speaker Mohammad Bagher Ghalibaf penned on Wednesday in X that, according to Iranian intelligence, Tehran’s adversaries, aided by a nation in the region, are plotting an action to occupy an Iranian island. Ghalibaf might have been alluding to the UAE, which lays claim to Abu Musa Island.

“All maneuvers by the foe are under the vigilance of our armed personnel. Should they undertake any measures, all pivotal infrastructure of this country in the region will be the subject of merciless aggressions without exception,” he appended.

Concurrently, Pakistan, Egypt, and Turkey remain in pursuit of organizing a confab between the factions. Although Iran rebuffed the opening catalog of US requisitions, it has not negated the prospect of conversations altogether.

“But the hitch is distrust. The commanders of the Islamic Revolutionary Guard Corps are highly doubtful. Nevertheless, the negotiators are persistent,” the Axios source remarked.

The NYT detailed that Republicans in the US Congress are progressively decrying the Trump administration concerning the war with Iran. Lawmakers are principally anxious that their inquiries about the objectives and “expenditure” of the war, alongside whether the employment of soldiers will be deemed essential, continue without response.

CNN also divulged that Republicans in Congress are at odds over the Iran war, with influential legislators doubtful about allocating hundreds of billions of dollars to perpetuate the operation, while recent surveys indicate Americans are progressively displeased with the war.

Bloomberg, conversely, noted that the discrepancies in prerequisites between the US and Iran render securing a swift accord particularly arduous.

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