New battleground state polls by The New York Times, Siena College and The Philadelphia Inquirer show Democrats ahead in Arizona, Nevada, Pennsylvania and Wisconsin, and running well ahead of the president.
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THE NEW YORK TIMES
PHILADELPHIA INQUIRER
SIENA COLLEGE POLL
April 28 to May 9
If this year’s general election for U.S.
Senate were held today, which candidate
would you be more likely to vote for?
Sam Brown
Jacky Rosen
38%
40%
Nevada
Kari Lake
Ruben Gallego
41
45
Arizona
David McCormick
Bob Casey
41
46
Pennsylvania
Eric Hovde
40
Tammy Baldwin
49
Wisconsin
Margin of error
THE NEW YORK TIMES
PHILADELPHIA INQUIRER
SIENA COLLEGE POLL
April 28 to May 9
If this year’s general election for U.S. Senate were held today,
which candidate would you be more likely to vote for?
Sam Brown
Jacky Rosen
38%
40%
Nevada
Kari Lake
Ruben Gallego
41
45
Arizona
David McCormick
Bob Casey
41
46
Pennsylvania
Eric Hovde
40
Tammy Baldwin
49
Wisconsin
Margin of error
Results are among registered voters. Respondents who said they didn’t know who they would vote for or who declined to say are not included.
Based on New York Times/Philadelphia Inquirer/Siena College polls of registered voters in six battleground states conducted from April 28 to May 9, 2024.
By Molly Cook Escobar
By Jonathan Weisman and Ruth Igielnik
May 13, 2024, 3:00 a.m. ET
Democratic candidates for the Senate in Arizona, Nevada, Pennsylvania and Wisconsin lead their Republican rivals and are running well ahead of President Biden in key states where he continues to struggle, according to polls by The New York Times, The Philadelphia Inquirer and Siena College.
The battleground surveys of registered voters indicate that the president’s difficulties against former President Donald J. Trump may not be enough to sink other Democrats, especially Senate incumbents who are facing less-well-known Republicans.
Ticket-splitters are not abundant — about 10 percent of Trump voters back the Democratic candidate for Senate in the four states, while about 5 percent of Biden supporters back the Republican.
But those voters are enough to give Democrats a chance at holding the Senate, where they currently hold a one-seat majority. To maintain control, the Democrats would have to sweep every competitive Senate seat and win the White House.
[You can find the full results of the polls, including the exact questions that were asked, here. You can see answers to common questions about our polling process here.]
Image
Senator Tammy Baldwin of Wisconsin is holding a lead over her Republican challenger.Credit…Haiyun Jiang/The New York Times
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Source: nytimes.com
